Friday, September 20, 2024

Lok Sabha Elections 2024| Pre-poll survey: 'NDA's leap forward; 56 percent voters believe in Narendra Modi's guarantee leader


The achievement of coming to power for the third consecutive time Pt. It was done by Jawaharlal Nehru. If the pre-poll survey of 'Pudhari-CSDS-Lokniti' comes true, Narendra Modi will become the leader who will hold the post of Prime Minister for the third consecutive time after Nehru. Modi sees an advantage as there are points of concern in the public opinion survey.

The performance of the BJP-led Modi government will be the main issue in the election. On one hand, BJP is eager to take the policies implemented by the central government in the last ten years to the people; On the other hand, the opposition is looking to challenge the ruling party on the basis of social unrest, economic difficulties and political anxiety. The following issues emerge from the pre-poll survey of 'Pudhari-CSDS-Lokneeti'… (Lok Sabha Elections 2024)

Voters are satisfied with the performance of the Centre

Over 57 percent of voters are completely or partially satisfied with Modi. In 2019, this percentage was 65. This indicates that the level of discontent against the government has increased slightly.

Favorable to voters of all economic strata

Among the economically rich and affluent, 62 percent favor the Modi government, while 57 percent of the middle class are happy with the Modi government. 56 percent of low economic class voters, 55 percent of poor voters are satisfied with the performance of Modi government.

Rural India with Modi

Acceptability of Modi government at village level is highest. 60 percent of voters living in villages are satisfied with the performance of Modi government. In semi-urban areas this percentage is 51 percent; Whereas in urban areas it is 49 percent.

Modi is liked by various social strata

Eight percent of the country's Muslims are fully satisfied with the Modi government, while 24 percent are partially satisfied. 68 percent of upper caste Hindus are satisfied with the Modi government. 63 percent of Hindu OBCs are happy with the Modi government. 57 percent of Hindu SCs and 58 percent of Hindu STs are satisfied with the Modi government.

Modi's popularity is double that of Rahul Gandhi

It is now clear that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is at the center of BJP's campaign for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. It is clear from the pre-poll test of 'Pudhari-CSDS-Lokneeti' that Narendra Modi is far ahead of the rival leaders in terms of popularity. On the question of who should be the Prime Minister, almost half of the voters (48 percent) unanimously chose the name of Narendra Modi. Although Rahul Gandhi is second with 27 percent, the gap between Modi and his popularity is almost double. Arvind Kejriwal, Mamata Banerjee, Akhilesh Yadav are some other names taken by voters; But their popularity has not even reached double digit percentage. No leader from Maharashtra has a significant preference for the post of Prime Minister.

BJP gains in North Eastern states including South India

If polls are held today, NDA will get 50 percent voter support in North and West India. 7 percent in BJP's South Indian votes compared to 2019; The survey reveals that there will be a significant increase of 8 percent in votes in East and North East India.

Modi is the ace of the rule

Once again Modi government at the center, this feeling is strong can be deduced from the inspection of 'Pudhari-CSDS-Lokneeti'. In the 2014 elections, Bharatiya Janata Party sought votes in the name of Narendra Modi; The Modi card was used in 2019 as well and even in the 2024 elections, Narendra Modi is the ace of the game for BJP and 'NDA' candidates to win.
Facing the electorate for a third consecutive term, anti-establishment sentiment is certain to be faced. However, in the case of Narendra Modi, this feeling has not yet become extreme, it can also be concluded from this survey. An issue like the Ram temple that touched the sentiments of the wider community was resolved through the courts and the Ram temple actually stood. This has a great positive effect.

During this government, infrastructure was developed, India's image was raised in the world, efforts were made to eradicate poverty, economic development was accelerated, people have positive feelings about the Modi government. It is characteristic that each of the above issues have reached the public rather than the extent of this. There is also a large section that believes that the 2014 Lok Sabha election debate was a 'good day' and satisfactory progress has been made towards resolving the debate. The survey also shows that the Modi government has been successful in giving confidence that the government is keeping its commitments and is working towards it. Modi has been able to retain his popularity among the OBC, rural and economically affluent sections, except for the Dalits and Adivasis, which is likely to play a decisive role in his third term. (Lok Sabha Elections 2024)

The poll was conducted three weeks to two months in some places, so voters were deliberately asked, How likely is it that your vote today will be final? At that time, one out of three voters said that our decision may change during actual voting. This is applicable for voters of all parties.

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