Leader Online Desk : Although the official announcement of the Lok Sabha elections has not been made, the battle for the elections has started in all the states. The 'match' between the ruling Trinamool Congress and the BJP in West Bengal has been eye-catching. Trinamool, which is contesting elections on its own, has announced the list of 42 candidates in the state. Now on the election in the state, election strategist Prashant Kishor has predicted that BJP will get a big success in the state. Let's know what exactly Prashant Kishor said?, what is the political strategy behind it…
W. Get ready to watch the shocking results in Bengal….
Speaking to a news channel recently, renowned election strategist Prashant Kishor said that the BJP is getting a bigger lead than the Trinamool Congress in West Bengal. I guess BJP is doing better than Trinamool Congress in Bengal in every respect. Be prepared to witness shocking results in BJP's favor in West Bengal in the Lok Sabha elections. BJP will emerge as the largest party in the state. Some will accuse me of being a BJP agent; but if I do not say this today, I will not call myself professionally honest as an election strategist, he has also clarified.
After the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the situation has not been favorable for the BJP in Bengal. BJP has been hit in all the elections be it assembly elections or local self government elections. The Trinamool Congress defeated the BJP in the by-elections as well. All senior BJP leaders, even ministers have left the party and joined Trinamool Congress. Yet on what basis is Prashant Kishor claiming BJP's victory? , is being questioned. Let's know BJP's strategy for the upcoming Lok Sabha elections in West Bengal.
Lok Sabha elections 2024: 'Trinamool' will be hit by 'Swabala'?
By breaking away from the 'India' alliance, the Trinamool Congress has given its rival BJP, which is contesting the elections in the state, another chance to gain strength, say political analysts in the state. BJP will get all the votes against Trinamool. Also, BJP's rightful vote will also come to him. While contesting elections on its own, Trinamool has prepared to win even in strong constituencies of Congress. For example, Trinamool Congress has fielded cricketer Yusuf Pathan against Congress leader Adhir Ranjan Chaudhary. It is believed that BJP can benefit from the division of votes in this way.
The political 'math' of sending Anant Maharaj to the Rajya Sabha
Anant Rai is a leader of the Rajbanshi community in West Bengal. After Matua, it is the second largest Scheduled Caste (SC) community in West Bengal. By fielding Anant Rai as its candidate, BJP has gained a good hold in North Bengal. Because the Rajbanshi community has a great influence there. In North Bengal, four of the eight Lok Sabha seats have been won by Rajvanshis. In 2019, BJP had won seven of these seats. Political analysts are predicting that BJP can win all eight seats this time.
BJP will benefit from the implementation of 'CAA'
It is believed that the implementation of the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) could benefit the BJP in West Bengal. 'CAA' will benefit the 'Matua' community of Bengal the most. There are 1 crore 80 lakh voters of this community in the state of West Bengal. At least four Lok Sabha seats in Nadia, North and South 24 Parganas districts of the state are affected by the vote of this community. Like the Matua community, the Rajvansi community will also benefit from the CAA. People of this community are also waiting for Indian citizenship since 1971. The Ram temple issue has benefited the BJP and this time too it will help unite Hindus across the country including West Bengal. Political analysts expect the CAA to further polarize Hindu opinion.
The result of the case under Sandesh can be similar to Singur-Nandigram
The sexual harassment and land grabbing cases under Sandesh in West Bengal became much talked about. BJP has raised an uproar across the state against this. Prime Minister Narendra Modi commented on this during his visit to West Bengal. The way the Trinamool Congress turned the agitation in Singur and Nandigram into a movement before the 2011 elections. Similarly, BJP has given air to the case of atrocities in Sandeshkhali. The party has also released a documentary titled 'The Big Reveal – The Sandeshkhali Shocker'. Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress was paved the way to come to power with the help of agitation against forced land acquisition in Nandigram. Nandigram BJP MLA Shubhendu Adhikari said, “The situation in Sandeshkhali is similar to Nandigram. In Nandigram, people fought against land acquisition and here they are fighting against forcible occupation of land.” From this, the BJP can use the case as a political weapon under the message in West Bengal in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections.
Lok Sabha elections 2024 : BJP leaders avoid personal criticism of Mamata Banerjee
During the 2021 assembly election campaign in West Bengal, Prime Minister Narendra Modi called Mamata Banerjee as 'Didi O Didi…'. BJP was hit by this personal attack. Trinamool campaigned that Prime Minister Modi insulted humanity. Mamata Banerjee benefited from this. That is why BJP has changed its strategy in West Bengal for the past few days. No party leader criticizes Mamata Banerjee personally. But the Trinamool Congress party is responsible for all the mistakes. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is seen talking carefully about Mamata Banerjee in all his public meetings. Even the BJP leaders are avoiding sarcastic jokes and sensitive allegations against Mamata Banerjee.
BJP will get sympathy for 'political' decisions
The Scheduled Caste Rajvanshis, Matuas and Baudis form about 23 percent of the population in West Bengal. In 2019, tea workers and tribals of Jangalmahal supported the BJP. The benefits to the Matuas and Rajvanshis under the CAA are expected to have an emotional impact on other Scheduled Castes as well. It is believed that decisions such as sending Anant Maharaj to the Rajya Sabha, making Rajbanshi community leader and BJP's current Lok Sabha MP Nishith Sanamani a minister will give the BJP an advantage in the Lok Sabha elections.
West as a whole. Be prepared to see a shocking result in Bengal, says election strategist Prashant Kishor, but it will have to wait for a few months. Everyone has the experience of the previous elections in West Bengal that even the changing picture during the election period affects the results.
Also Read:
