Thursday, July 18, 2024

Loksabha Election: U. Pradesh, Bihar will be decisive for 'NDA' for 400 Par leader

In the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-led NDA has given the slogan 'Abki Bar Charsau Par'. For that, BJP will have to win 370 seats on its own, while other component parties will have to win more than 30 seats. To make this dream a reality, NDA along with BJP will have to focus most of their attention on Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. Because, there are as many as 120 Lok Sabha seats in these two states. (Lok Sabha Election)

After the announcement of the Lok Sabha elections, the political atmosphere is heating up. In 1984, Congress created history by winning 404 Lok Sabha seats. BJP has decided to do the same in the 17th general election. The biggest selling point for the BJP is the magical personality of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. They have started to conquer the whole country. At the same time, the cooperative parties in the opposition 'India Alliance' are pitted against each other in Kerala and West Bengal. Left parties have filed their candidature against former Congress President Rahul Gandhi in Kerala. In this background, 'NDA' has almost completed the seat allocation. Now the only remedy left is to announce the candidates at that place. No one can deny that 'NDA' has taken the lead in campaigning today. (Lok Sabha Election)

In 1984, riding on a sympathy wave after the assassination of then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi, the Congress won an incredible 404 out of 514 seats. At that time, Congress won 83 out of 85 seats in Uttar Pradesh, 48 out of 54 in Bihar, 43 out of 48 in Maharashtra, 40 in Madhya Pradesh, 26 in Gujarat, 25 in Rajasthan and 10 in Haryana. If we consider the southern states then Congress won 25 out of 39 seats in Tamil Nadu, 30 out of 42 in Andhra Pradesh, 24 out of 28 in Karnataka, 13 out of 20 in Kerala and 16 out of 42 in West Bengal.

Fronts, periods of instability

After the Lok Sabha elections in 1984, the country saw a succession of long-term coalition governments that came and went in short order. It was a period of political instability. Finally, the government formed in 1999 for the third time during the tenure of Atal Bihari Vajpayee completed its tenure. Followed by Dr. The Manmohan Singh-led government completed its tenure twice in a row. However, Congress did not get full majority even then. After almost 30 years, BJP won absolute majority in 2014 under the leadership of Narendra Modi. Then in 2019, BJP managed to win 303 seats on its own. (Lok Sabha Election)

Rising graph of BJP

In the 1984 general elections, the BJP had to settle for just two seats. After that, the seats of BJP increased rapidly. The states of Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar and Andhra Pradesh were divided. The special status of Jammu and Kashmir i.e. Article 370 was abolished. The statehood of that region was also withdrawn and Ladakh was made a Union Territory. The political canvas of the country has completely changed in the last forty years. In this background, BJP and 'NDA' will have to make efforts to reach the mark of 400 seats in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections. The main thing is that the welfare schemes implemented by the Modi government have to be taken down the throats of the voters.

In the last Lok Sabha elections, 'NDA' won 26 in Gujarat, 25 in Rajasthan, 10 in Haryana, 7 in Delhi, 5 in Uttarakhand, 4 in Himachal Pradesh, 2 each in Tripura and Arunachal Pradesh, BJP won in Chandigarh and Daman and Diu. Not only this, the BJP won 28 out of 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, 25 out of 28 in Karnataka, 18 out of 42 in West Bengal and 39 out of 40 in Bihar.

Uttar Pradesh is important for BJP

To reach the magic number of 400, BJP will have to work hard once again on Uttar Pradesh. Last time NDA won 64 out of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh. 62 of these seats were lost in BJP's account. BJP has won all five seats in Uttarakhand, which was created by dividing Uttar Pradesh. Compared to 2014, BJP's seats were reduced in 2019. In 2014, BJP had won 73 seats. In 1977, the Janata Party won all 85 seats in Uttar Pradesh in an anti-Emergency wave. (Lok Sabha Election)

BJP will have to show such performance this time. This time BJP has taken with it small parties like Rashtriya Lok Dal, Apna Dal (S) and Nishad Party, Omprakash Rajbhar's Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Paksha. Therefore, BJP believes that it will do its best in Uttar Pradesh. At the same time, BJP will have to show brilliant performance in Bihar as well. If there is an extraordinary success in these two states, BJP's dream of winning more than 400 seats can come true.

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